Sorrento vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 0
SOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
SOR
14%
23%
64%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 1
PIS
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCV
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 0
PIS
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 0
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |