Sorrento vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASG
1 - 2
SOR
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 1
SOR
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 2
FRO
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
SOR
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 0
PRG
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PAG
1 - 1
FCV
24%
28%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FRO
2 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PAG
2 - 2
ASA
24%
28%
48%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 1
PAG
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |