Sorrento vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PES
3 - 0
SOR
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 1
MAS
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
SOR
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SOR
3 - 1
JUS
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
SOR
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASL
47%
28%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ASL
57%
26%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ASL
1 - 0
POT
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |