Sora vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
35%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
SOR
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
AVE
28%
29%
43%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SSS
0 - 0
SOR
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SOR
0 - 1
BEN
35%
30%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 0
SOR
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 2
SPA
58%
24%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 1
REG
41%
27%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
SPA
39%
31%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 1
TER
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SSS
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |