Sora vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
AVE
1 - 0
SOR
61%
23%
17%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 2
SOR
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
TAR
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 1
SOR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
0 - 2
VIR
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 2
TAR
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
TER
2 - 2
PAT
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 0
AVE
30%
27%
43%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAT
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |