Sora vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
PAT
1 - 0
SOR
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 1
AVE
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
SOR
3 - 2
VIS
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
TER
3 - 3
SOR
71%
18%
12%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
TAR
2 - 0
LAQ
55%
26%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
TER
1 - 0
LAQ
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 0
SAS
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 1
PAT
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |