Sora vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
SOR
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
SOR
1 - 2
SAS
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
CRO
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SOR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SOR
2 - 1
PAT
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
LAQ
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
SSS
34%
30%
36%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 2
FER
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
FER
1 - 1
VIT
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 0
FER
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |