Sora vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
SOR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 0
MAR
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
SOR
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 0
SOR
51%
25%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIT
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 2
FCC
37%
32%
31%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 0
FCC
34%
32%
34%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |