Sora vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VIR
2 - 1
SOR
72%
17%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 0
LOD
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 1
PES
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
SAS
2 - 2
SOR
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 2
GIU
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAS
2 - 0
VIT
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAQ
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
VIS
0 - 0
CAS
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
BEN
47%
28%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
LOD
3 - 3
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |