Sora vs FC Fossombrone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
8º
8º
7
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
6 | 67 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 51 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
30% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 2
SOR
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SOR
1 - 1
SAN
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RCF
2 - 3
SOR
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SOR
1 - 2
AVE
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
SOR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Fossombrone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
BFM
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BFM
4 - 1
TER
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
4 - 1
BFM
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SSD
1 - 0
BFM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |