Sora vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 2
SOR
57%
24%
20%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
TAR
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
GIU
1 - 1
SOR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 1
SOR
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 1
VIR
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
SSS
28%
32%
41%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
TAR
0 - 0
BEN
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 0
SAS
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
VIS
1 - 1
BEN
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |