Sora vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
12º
29
7º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SSS
4 - 1
SOR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 0
SOR
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SOR
0 - 0
BFM
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 0
SOR
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 2
SOR
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 2
FAN
22%
28%
50%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 3
RCF
27%
26%
48%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 0
VAS
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 3
VSU
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
VAS
3 - 2
ASD
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |