Sophia vs Real Moengotapoe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
5º
4º
22
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 31 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 28 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 22 |
8º
|
63.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 16 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 9 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sophia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 2
SOP
30%
21%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOP
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SEA
2 - 2
SOP
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
ACO
2 - 1
SOP
48%
21%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SOP
2 - 0
HAP
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Real Moengotapoe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2023 |
MOE
2 - 5
JUN
12%
16%
73%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SEA
2 - 0
MOE
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 4
MOE
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
MOE
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
MOE
2 - 1
KAM
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |