Sony Sendai vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
13º
12º
36
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 62 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 44 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sony Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SON
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TCF
3 - 1
SON
35%
24%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
YOK
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
KAW
2 - 0
SON
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 1
HON
17%
23%
61%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
TCF
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
YOK
0 - 2
HON
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
REA
67%
22%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 0
HON
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |