Sonthofen vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
16º
15º
16
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 58 |
1º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 58 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 55 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 52 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 47 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 45 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 36 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 35 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 32 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 29 |
16º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 24 |
17º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
64.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SON
0 - 4
S04
13%
19%
68%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
186
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
KSC
70%
17%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 3
SON
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 3
ING
36%
23%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
SCS
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |