Sonthofen vs TSV Nördlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
16º
15º
33
5º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
33 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 60 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 58 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 56 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 51 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 44 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 41 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 36 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 27 |
15º
|
40% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 21 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
95% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
SON
0 - 4
S04
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SON
1 - 2
186
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DEI
1 - 1
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SON
3 - 0
KSC
70%
17%
14%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 3
SON
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
4 - 1
KOR
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 2
VFR
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
2 - 3
ING
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TSV
5 - 1
SCS
74%
16%
11%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HEI
4 - 1
TSV
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |