Sonthofen vs Affing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonthofen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
SON
5 - 5
UNT
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAH
2 - 1
SON
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SON
1 - 1
DJK
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
AIC
2 - 1
SON
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SON
4 - 0
UNT
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Affing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
AFF
1 - 2
WAC
31%
23%
46%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HAH
1 - 1
AFF
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AFF
1 - 5
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DJK
1 - 2
AFF
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
AFF
0 - 2
PUL
23%
22%
54%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |