Sonsbeck vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
17º
9º
34
5º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 38.5% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SON
0 - 5
ROT
12%
18%
70%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NET
4 - 3
SON
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SON
4 - 3
SFB
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 0
SON
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 2
NET
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MEE
3 - 1
WAT
53%
20%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 2
MEE
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 1
FCV
79%
13%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
MEE
6 - 3
HAM
34%
21%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |