SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
9º
2º
10
4º
18º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 80 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 75 |
2º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 62 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 51 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 50 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 43 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 39 |
12º
|
6.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 37 |
13º
|
5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
16º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 31 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 26 |
18º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
REU
1 - 4
SGS
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 0
BIS
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 2
SGS
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SGS
2 - 2
FCZ
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 3
SGS
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
1 - 2
BAL
47%
22%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SVF
3 - 1
NOT
18%
21%
60%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
FRE
34%
23%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 3
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |