Sondrio vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
54.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
INV
2 - 1
SON
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
MAP
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SER
7 - 4
SON
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 1
BUS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
VBE
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 0
OLG
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PSM
0 - 2
VBE
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 1
ASS
22%
25%
52%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | +2 |