Sondrio vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
SON
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SON
1 - 1
FCC
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
SON
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SON
1 - 2
PON
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
SON
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PSM
3 - 1
INV
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
PSM
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
1 - 1
MAP
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
2 - 0
PSM
50%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
43%
24%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -2 |