Sondrio vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
SON
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SON
1 - 2
PON
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
SON
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SON
2 - 1
ACC
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
SON
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 1
INV
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 5
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 1
MAP
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CIS
0 - 0
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |