Sondrio vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
SON
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
MAP
42%
24%
35%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SER
7 - 4
SON
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
TOR
8 - 0
SON
89%
9%
2%
|
24 | 83 | 59 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SON
0 - 2
INV
45%
23%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
BUS
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VAR
5 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
OLG
22%
26%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
MAP
43%
26%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |