Sondrio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 3
SON
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
PRO
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PON
4 - 1
SON
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SON
0 - 1
GRU
22%
21%
56%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 0
SON
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
LEC
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 2
ROM
91%
7%
2%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REZ
1 - 1
LEC
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 0
DAR
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PSM
0 - 1
LEC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |