Sondrio vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sondrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAP
0 - 1
SON
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SON
1 - 2
SER
19%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SON
1 - 3
FIO
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
SON
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SON
1 - 1
PON
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 3
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
LEC
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 1
PSM
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 0
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |