SonderjyskE vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
11º
10º
28
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 41 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 40 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 37 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 28 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 24 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
79% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 10 |
12º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 81% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SonderjyskE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SON
1 - 0
AAF
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SON
0 - 1
WEI
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SON
2 - 0
GAI
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2025 |
SON
1 - 3
BAY
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SON
1 - 3
HIL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 3
FCK
41%
25%
35%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
AGF
1 - 0
AIK
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AGF
2 - 1
PHU
45%
24%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
AGF
4 - 1
OBK
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |