Somozas vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 0
SOM
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 0
AVI
18%
24%
58%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 1
CDT
47%
24%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 5
SOM
46%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 1
SSR
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
CLH
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TED
0 - 3
VAR
13%
18%
70%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 3
CDT
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
CDT
3 - 0
VAR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEI
3 - 0
VAR
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |