Somozas vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 1
CDT
47%
24%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CDT
1 - 5
SOM
46%
24%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SOM
0 - 1
SSR
38%
27%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SSR
2 - 3
SOM
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SOM
2 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
BAD
3 - 0
AVI
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 0
BAD
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVI
2 - 0
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AVI
4 - 0
ZAM
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |