Somozas vs Narón BP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
BER
2 - 0
SOM
38%
26%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SOM
2 - 3
CER
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 2
SOM
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
STA
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PON
3 - 0
SOM
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Narón BP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
NAR
0 - 1
RVI
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
NAR
4 - 1
CDO
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
VER
0 - 2
NAR
16%
22%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 0
CUL
61%
21%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DEP
1 - 2
NAR
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |