Somozas vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
OUR
4 - 0
SOM
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
SOM
55%
24%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 2
SOM
26%
26%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SOM
1 - 2
VIV
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
ALO
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
DEP
47%
24%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
PON
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RCV
1 - 0
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
OUR
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |