Somozas vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 0
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UPH
3 - 4
SOM
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SOM
0 - 3
BER
34%
26%
41%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ARZ
0 - 1
SOM
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 4
BAR
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
RCV
0 - 1
DEP
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
COM
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 0
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
BER
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
4 - 2
UPH
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |