Somozas vs CSD Arzua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ALO
1 - 0
SOM
39%
28%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
SOM
3 - 1
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SOM
3 - 0
SIL
61%
23%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ARO
2 - 0
SOM
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
SOM
56%
23%
20%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CSD Arzua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
ARZ
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
OUR
0 - 2
ARZ
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARZ
3 - 1
RIB
50%
25%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
UDO
1 - 0
ARZ
39%
25%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |