Somozas vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 1
SOM
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 0
BAR
56%
22%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BER
1 - 0
SOM
46%
25%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CUL
0 - 2
SOM
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 3
COM
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 0
CUL
74%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
ARO
69%
19%
12%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BOI
0 - 2
ARO
79%
15%
7%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 0
RCV
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |