Sollenau vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sollenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
SOL
1 - 2
NEU
62%
20%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
SOL
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SOL
2 - 2
RAP
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
0 - 1
SOL
50%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
2 - 5
SOL
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 3
FCW
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
NEU
3 - 2
BAU
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 8
PAR
15%
20%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 0
BAU
66%
20%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 3
ADM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |