Sol de América Formosa vs Sarm. Resistencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
7º
3º
13
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 20 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
SOL
1 - 0
JAN
45%
28%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDN
2 - 0
SOL
44%
29%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
3 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
SOL
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
CEN
24%
29%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sarm. Resistencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAR
23%
28%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 1
BUC
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
SAR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
SAR
59%
25%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SMA
2 - 0
SAR
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |