Sol de América vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
12º
11º
17
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
3 - 0
JLM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
2DE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 1
JLM
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
2DE
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |