Sol de América vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
LQE
65%
21%
13%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
TAC
68%
21%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 3
OLI
19%
26%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CER
2 - 0
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LQE
2 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |