Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Sol de América vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
TAC
3 - 0
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
AME
3 - 0
TAC
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1989 |
AME
0 - 0
COB
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
BOC
5 - 3
OLI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |