Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
12O
1 - 0
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
OLI
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
AME
0 - 0
TEM
84%
11%
4%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
OLI
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
AME
3 - 0
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 5
CCP
37%
28%
36%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
RPA
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |