Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 5
AME
26%
26%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
RPA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
AME
1 - 3
OLI
12%
20%
68%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 1
AME
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LQE
1 - 3
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |