Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2019 |
BOT
4 - 0
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
BOT
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
CCP
25%
24%
50%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
FBC
0 - 3
NAC
2%
6%
92%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
RPA
50%
25%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |