Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
AME
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AME
2 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 5
LQE
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
36%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CCP
3 - 2
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
SPO
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |