Sol de América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
AME
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
GEN
71%
20%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAC
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |