Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
AME
0 - 0
LQE
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
AME
3 - 0
OLI
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
AME
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |