Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AME
4 - 2
GEN
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
AME
1 - 1
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
12O
0 - 3
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
AME
4 - 4
CCP
26%
26%
49%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
4 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
19%
26%
55%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
CCP
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 5
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
LIB
3 - 1
RÑU
59%
24%
18%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |