Sol de América vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
AME
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
GEN
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
24%
28%
49%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 2
LIB
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 0
LIG
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |