Sol de América vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 3
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
RÑU
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AME
1 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
CCP
2 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
IND
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |