Sol de América vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
AME
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
CCP
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
LQE
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 1
TAC
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
IND
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
IND
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
IND
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |