Sol de América vs Independiente FBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AME
3 - 4
RÑU
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 0
TAC
46%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente FBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
IND
2 - 2
GEN
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
IND
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IND
5 - 1
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
IND
0 - 1
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |