Sol de América vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
12º
11º
35
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
AME
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 0
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AME
3 - 0
JLM
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 7
GUA
4%
9%
88%
|
78 | 9 | 69 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 1
GUA
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
2DE
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
AME
2 - 2
GUA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |