Sol de América vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 6
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
AME
2 - 0
RÑU
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 4
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
LQE
69%
20%
10%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TAC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 1
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |